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Dawg Stats

A blog by Josh Hancher in Articles

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About this blog

A blog about the numbers and advanced statistics from College Football.  I will primarily look at this through the UGA prism but will cover a lot of teams.  Ask questions, bring your own research, join us as we learn and discuss the games.

Entries in this blog

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A Statistical Overview of Teams in Playoff Era

I know that some of you guys who have followed my stats know more or less what metrics I use to breakdown teams.  As I go through my stats and clean them up to be ready for the 2022 season, I made this graph for us.     These are the  teams who finished with at least a 70% win percentage and their statistical profile.  I will add some more charts and data in the comments and even the data set if you want to see all the stats from all teams in 2016-2021
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in stats

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stats

Top 10 Defensive EPA Plays

Ok... I am just hanging watching a Boston Butt creep up to 203F to take to the golf course for a long overdue round, and I got to thinking about sharing some defensive efficiency plays.  If you missed the EPA explanation check it out as I ran through what EPA means for offensive efficiency.  But, it is used to describe defensive efficiency as well.  Dawgs were just behind Wisconsin last season in EPA allowed per play...  but that is hardly a fair comparison.  Georgia faced Alabama twice, Tenness
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in stats

1
stats

Rushing Efficiency Under Kirby Smart

Georgia fans take pride and claim Bulldogs are RBU.  It's hard to argue that it is not considering how many NFL backs have played in Athens.  There is also a significant crowd that wants to see an modern more open offense and expected that with the hiring of Todd Monken.  The evolution of offensive play calling under smart from Jim Cheney to James Coley and now Todd Monken is not hard to spot, but the running game is and will always be a significant part of the playbook.  Don't look for the 30/7
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in stats

1
Stats

What the Hell is EPA?

There are so many stats across all the sports that represent advance stats or analytics.  Some  more obtuse than others.  I have always contended that advance stats are no different than the "eye test" in terms of judging or grading a football play or an entire  game.  The advance metrics are just putting a number on "explosive" offense or "stout" defense.   EPA is one of the stats which we will reference a lot on this site as we break down not only the X and O's of the game, but add to the
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in Stats

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stats

Georgia Returning Secondary and Opponent's Returning Receivers

Hopefully you been following my breakdowns of the returning production for this season.  My hope that I have provided some context what returning production looks like at the player level.  Considering that Georgia is 120th returning defensive production and that passes defended carries the most weight in Bill Connelly's analysis, let's look at the secondary and the pass catchers they'll face.  I am focusing on just the FBS teams... and Tech.  Georgia doesn't face an offense who ranked in top 50
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in stats

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Dawg Stats

Defensive Metrics and Returning Production on CFP Teams

Hope you got to see my initial post on returning production.  I think that it is hard to make a case that a high percentage of returning production will make a championship quality team. Look at this.  14 Teams since 2017 have increased win percentage by 50%+ and 22 have decreased their winning percentage.  Here what those two groups returned from the previous season. As you can see, it is hard to draw a direct correlation from returning production to improved or declining winnin
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in Dawg Stats

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Dawg Stats

Tracking Offensive Returning Production through the Playoff Era

"Returning Production" is a phrase that we all hear in the offseason.  Bill Connelly publishes and weights his returning production metrics.  You can read his current projections on ESPN.com and previous seasons on SBNation Football Study Hall.  To summarize, not all returning production is the same.  Offensive Line and Running back production is mostly replaceable and Passing and Receiving production is less replaceable.  Defensively, passes defended are harder to replace than TFLs.  So with th
Josh Hancher

Josh Hancher in Dawg Stats

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