UT Pass Defense

Three stats that interest me in the Bama UT Game

Tennessee's defense is good not great.  39% success rate allowed and really not good defensive pass play success rate allowed of 43.2%.  This did not slip past @Graham Coffey
 

A lot of you have up and decided that Bama is losing to America’s 124th best passing defense this week. Watching y’all make the choice to emotionally invest yourselves in the Tennessee Vols has given me new perspective on how half of marriages end in divorce

— Graham Coffey (@DawgOutWest) October 13, 2022

Do we really think that UT is that bad?  Let’s see if we can make sense of that.

Tennessee v Power 5 Teams

Yeah 3-0, and their best pass defense was against Pitt which was the one game they probably didn’t deserve to win.  And in the red zone, they are actually a little better than Bama
    

Yeah, small sample size, Bama is the better team, but don’t think that UT is gonna look like the 124th pass defense on Saturday.  

Offensive explosiveness

Alabama is scoring 1.4 points per successful play. Not sustainable.  They were really good offensively last year and scored 1.1 per successful play.  Tennessee is scoring 1.2 points per successful play.  That is more realistic.  Alabama’s offensive success rate is 49% for season.  If, they don’t hit that success rate or don’t score from outside the redzone, this game could be manageable for Tennessee.  

Tennessee has allowed 3 TDs from outside the Red Zone v power 5 teams.  Alabama has allowed none all year against Power 5. 

A big play from Gibbs or Young could decide the game.  But, if it comes down to Red Zone Offense and Defense:

Red Zone Opportunities

Some Bama and UT stats in the @DawgsCentral_ forumhttps://t.co/Kke2htJeVA pic.twitter.com/mHILiAuS3Z

— Dawg Stats (@Dawg_Stats) October 13, 2022