Last year, I wrote and talked about my concerns about the offense. I wasn't sure that if Bennett was the guy who could put up the offensive numbers needed to beat Bama. Well, let's just say that I am happy I was wrong. Loud wrong. My concerns were around the offensive explosiveness and the overall efficiency. Georgia's defense was allowing less than a touchdown per game through the first six games. I just didn't think that was sustainable. While that stat did regress (Georgia allowed 10.2 PPG for the season), the defense was one of the best in CFP era and was critical to bring home the championship and the offense was more explosive after the Auburn game.
Let's see where the 2021 team was at this points last season and where it stands through 6 games in 2022.
in 2021's first six games, Georgia's defense nearly blanked three SEC teams, and held Clemson to a FG. Offensively, they were rolling with big chunk plays and garbage time rushing drives. Leveraging those leads and a elite defense allowed Georgia to rack up a 3.0 Net YPP advantage which was best in football. As the season went on, this stat regressed but 2.8, but still led all teams in 2021. Defense did allow more successful plays in second half, but hard not to when you play Michigan and Bama twice. The offense continued to show improvement in second half.
This year, the offense is off to a blistering 57.7% success rate and while red zone effiency is down, Georgia's offense is good even while replacing and growing with the now veteran Bennett as QB.
Looking at the defense. Yeah, 27% success rate allowed was not sustainable, and except for the SECCG, was suffocating for the season. Finishing #2 behind Wisconsin in this metric, they were incredible all year. This year, one had to expect a drop off. Can the 2022 hold their defensive efficiency from this point forward? Improve? Regress? Still think the paint is drying on this side of the ball. But, confident this unit will be one of the best again this year
Overall Grade: B+ Defense will need to continue to grow.
Points and Explosiveness
The 2022 offense is putting up more yards per play than at this point last season. But, also is allowing more defensively. Georgia has played some decent defenses in Oregon, Missouri, and Auburn, but Florida, Kentucky, and a late season game in Starkville loom. Staying above 7.0 YPP by the time Tech comes to town would have to be a successful campaign. Defensively, the unit needs to improve, not regress. 4.6 YPP is not going to win a championship, but this is the unit which has a lot of upside with young players getting experience with every snap. Holding the line at 10-15 PPG and 4.2'ish YPP could be the difference between a Sugar Bowl and the playoff. Looks like points scored won't be the issue for the offense. Georgia's offense finished with an improvement in offensive explosiveness after week 6, and while the 2022 numbers are low, you have to remember that it has 57.7% success rate. That volume of success will keep this number low. Stretching the field will hopefully happen with some improved health at WR and with that some improvement in explosive plays.
Offensive Points and Explosiveness Grade: B. Need to cash in more drives.
Defensive Points and Explosiveness Grade: B Really good, but needs to be great to compete for title
Rush and Pass Breakdown
The running game has been INCREDIBLY efficient. Converting on third downs and short yardage snaps, and a success rate over 60% is something that RBU has to like. The passing attack is also successful at 55%, but with .380 EPA, producing a lower clip at this point last season. Fewer chunk plays from Bennett and the WR/TE's. Defensively, success rate allowed on both pass and run has been very good, and probably unfair to compare to 2021's teams. But, again, if the defense can get better and if they hold these numbers they can beat anyone.
What is interesting is seeing the percentage of pass plays. Georgia ended season with a 56/44 split, but through 6 games, it only passed on 37% of snaps. This year, that number is flipped with Monken calling passes on 55% of plays. This will be interesting to watch down the stretch. Has the offense evolved to a pass first team? It is clear that game state is different from last year. Georgia was dominant after the opener versus Clemson and didn't need to pass as much. What will Georgia face in the second half and how will that dictate the offensive play calling.
Pass Offense: A- Still looking for rhythm, short passes to RBs and TEs have move the chains. Still expecting improvement
Rush Offense A+ Putting up numbers and being efficient after losing Cook and White. Expecting good things going forward
Rush Defense B+ Tough act to follow from 2021, but with negative EPA, Georgia is making yards on the ground very difficult.
Pass Defense B Good not great. Georgia allowed 50% to Oregon on short passes. Gave up big plays on the perimeter to Kent State and Auburn. There is a lot of talent in the secondary, but needs improvement.
|W||L||Net YPP||O Suc Rte||D Suc Rte||O YPP||D YPP||Rush Plays|
|W||L||Off EPA||Def EPA||OPPG||DPPG||Off Exp||Def Exp|