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Is Georgia Tech not... terrible?

Josh Hancher

Georgia Tech had a preseason win total of 3.5 wins and still seemed to climbing uphill in year 4 of Geoff Collins' rebuild after years of Triple Option personnel.   Tech was uncompetitive and had just one win over Western Carolina when UCF took Tech to the woodshed and the 27-10 loss ended the Collins era.

Brent Key took over as interim and has gone 4-3 with an upset of UNC and can get the Jackets to a bowl with an upset Saturday.  The season stats matchup make that look more daunting. (Check out my rivalry stats on the forum)


Here's are some Tech splits before and after Collins. The offense is basically the same, and not good. The success rate and EPA is among the worst in FBS.  Even in their wins, they didn't sniff 50% success rate.  

Screen Shot 2022-11-25 at 9.50.29 AM.pngScreen Shot 2022-11-25 at 9.50.09 AM.png

While Key can be credited with salvaging the season, he did it with defense. Under Collins the Jackets were allowing 47% success rate.  and 80+ snaps to Western Carolina and Ole Miss.  The contrast is stark.  Tech allowing under 40% success rate allowed significantly fewer snaps. That 39.7 Defensive success rate allowed for the season would rank 39th in FBS and matches TCU's defensive efficiency. While far from elite, he has them playing well on defense.

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So, to answer the question in the title of this post, no, they are still terrible but slightly less terrible under Key than Collins. They might have something to build on, but Tech needs offense.  In today's portal era, that turnaround can be quick, but not quick enough before Saturday.

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